Word of advice to an aspiring trader

Message boards offer a great pool of information as well as opportunities to socialize with like-minded traders. Sometimes I post my advice on threads in which aspiring traders seek advice. Upon one post of mine, a trader messaged me this:

There will come a time where I will need to try to figure out my personal plan to be a trader and taking things into my own hands. Could you lend any advice to someone who has the ambition but has yet to even paper trade a “system” or “edge”?

Here was my reply to him. I would like to share it as I find it relevant for many traders:

Before you learn trading through painful mistakes, I suggest that you make printouts of charts and study them vigorously before testing your theory (either in paper trading, or with minimal amounts of real money). I personally printed out the continuous 1H chart of the ES from the last few years.

Know that experienced traders tend to be passive and ride out trends for as long as possible. Be objective in whichever approach you pursue. This is easily said, but what I mean is that you only enter a position when the market tells you to, not sooner and not later. Don’t trade what you expect, but merely according to what you see. You need to be able to clearly pinpoint the reason why you did something the way you did one month or a year from now. Only then will you have an objectively executed trade.

Last but not least, know when a trade is a failure before entering it in the first place. It means that you need a stop, or a risk limit. Decide based on what you see in the chart, not some 1% or 5 point distance rule relative to your entry. That is subjective. I hope this can help you with finding a smooth entry to becoming a good trader!

The risk of using multiple time frames

You may find it discouraging, or even boring, if a market has not been offering a good setup for a longer while. Some books actually talk about how using multiple time frames can improve your trading and help with spotting potential setups. Instead of encouraging it, I would rather take this advice with care.

If you look at more than one time frame just because you cannot find a potential entry, you are basically forcing yourself into trades. In this case, using multiple time frames will backfire. They should solely be used to get a better view of the overall market situation. The actual trades, however, need to be executed based on the time frame you have backtested your strategy with.

I backtested my current trend following strategy back to mid 2009 with a one hour chart and it has never failed fundamentally at yielding a consistent return. A trader’s objective is not about being involved in the market at whatever cost, but about preserving what has been captured and refraining from trades when there is no opportunity presented. In case the market has nothing to offer, so be it. I don’t have a particular goal with regards to trading but to make right decisions. Even a loss is only worth it, if it happened despite having made the right decisions. The rest will take care of itself. It basically boils down to pure statistics, or your “edge”.

You certainly can trade shorter time frames in the minutes or ticks. I am personally of the impression that the shorter the time frame, the more randomness is involved in price action. So I rather stick to my mantra of objectiveness and trade those trends that are really there to stay and not fade within a few minutes time. I wouldn’t be able to manage that. I would get severely frustrated. Therefore, I trade best with the one hour chart. Missing out on the smaller swings, and giving back portions of unrealized profits during counter-moves is the consequence of my approach. In trading, you sadly can’t have the cake and eat it too.